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But surprisingly by a larger margin than we expected. The reason behind that is Hillary did extremely well among one group of her core supporters: Catholics (70% of support). Moreover, Obama did not do as well as he should among his core supporters: voters under 30 years of age (62% of support). This is something we indicated yesterday:

“With voters under 30 being the core of his supporters, I think that Obama has a harder task ahead.”

For more info:

The New York Times has a good Profile of the Pennsylvania Primary Voters and the Pennsylvania Primary Results.

Nobody said it better than Obama: “I’m not predicting a win. . . . I’m predicting that it’s going to be close and that we are going to do a lot better than people expect.“

In Pennsylvania, Obama is leading the way in terms of spending (US$ 8.6M to US$ 3.6), number of blog posts, number of Google searches, number of web site visits, etc. On her side, Clinton has managed to stay on top in the polls.

The race in Pennsylvania is an interesting one. Some say that it is too close to call. Others say that demographics will be a defining factor. However, to win in Pennsylvania, Obama and Clinton have to make sure their supporters go to the polling stations. With voters under 30 being the core of his supporters, I think that Obama has a harder task ahead. However, if he and his team pull it off, it would be the upset victory that he needs to ensure his nomination once and for all.