Archive for the 'Retail' Category

What might several application areas be for predictive analytics?

Monday, January 28th, 2008

<meta name="GENERATOR" content="OpenOffice.org 2.3 (Linux)" /> <style type="text/css"> <!-- @page { size: 8.5in 11in; margin: 0.79in } P { margin-bottom: 0.08in } --> </style></p> <p style="margin-bottom: 0in">The other day a friend of mine was asking me about possible business areas in which <a title="Predictive Analytics at Wikipedia" target="_blank" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Predictive_analytics">predictive analytics</a> could be used. I told him that the use of <a title="Predictive Analytics at Wikipedia" target="_blank" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Predictive_analytics">predictive analytics</a> was limited only by the imagination of the people using it and the availability of data to create the models. Because he wanted a more concrete answer, I mentioned these examples (I hope they would give you some ideas on how to use predictive analytics in your organization):</p> <p style="margin-bottom: 0in"> <ul> <li>For <strong>Financial Institutions</strong>:</li> <ul> <li><strong><em>Response</em></strong>: Which customers are likely to respond to a specific offer such as a lower interest rate on credit card.</li> <li><em><strong>Cross-sell</strong></em>: Which customers will apply for a mortgage given they already have a credit card with us?</li> <li><strong><em>Up-sell</em></strong>: Which customers will upgrade to a platinum card given that they have a gold card?</li> </ul> <li>For <strong>Retailers</strong>:</li> <ul> <li><em><strong>Supply Chain Management</strong></em>: What products are sold together?</li> <li><em><strong>Sales</strong></em>: What key factors are associated with predicting our sales? (location, store size, promotions, etc.)</li> </ul> <li>For <strong>Web-based Companies</strong>:</li> <ul> <li><strong><em>Web site optimization</em></strong>: How are the users in Calgary different from those in Edmonton with regards to how they navigate the site?</li> </ul> <li>For <strong>Cable Companies</strong>:</li> <ul> <li><strong><em>Churn</em></strong>: Which customers are likely to leave and sign up with another company?</li> </ul> <li>For <strong>Nonprofit Organizations</strong>:</li> <ul> <li><em><strong>Donor identification</strong></em>: Who will give to us? Who will renew?</li> <li><strong><em>Strategic planning</em></strong>: Are we investing in the right areas to attain our campaign goal?</li> </ul> </ul> <p style="margin-bottom: 0in"> </div> <p class="postmetadata">Posted in <a href="http://aranducorp.com/blog/category/retail/" title="View all posts in Retail" rel="category tag">Retail</a>, <a href="http://aranducorp.com/blog/category/predictive-analytics/" title="View all posts in Predictive Analytics" rel="category tag">Predictive Analytics</a>, <a href="http://aranducorp.com/blog/category/fundraising/" title="View all posts in Fundraising" rel="category tag">Fundraising</a> | <a href="http://aranducorp.com/blog/2008/01/28/what-might-several-application-areas-be-for-predictive-analytics/#comments" title="Comment on What might several application areas be for predictive analytics?">1 Comment »</a></p> </div> <div class="post"> <h3 id="post-4"><a href="http://aranducorp.com/blog/2007/09/18/how-predictive-analytics-can-help-you-case-1-retail/" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent Link to How predictive analytics can help you. Case 1: Retail">How predictive analytics can help you. Case 1: Retail</a></h3> <small>Tuesday, September 18th, 2007</small> <div class="entry"> <p>Customers rarely explicitly reveal their preferences. They usually do so implicitly in their purchases and transactions. Analysing their purchases, we can gain insights on what customers want, how much they are willing to pay, and how they choose between competitors and competing brands.</p> <p>Consider the following example: Suppose a person’s credit card transactions includes a hockey stick. Would this indicate that the person likely plays hockey? What about if the same credit card is used during hockey season to buy hockey gloves and jerseys? Would this indicate, then, that the person likely plays hockey? What if the person purchased only a particular hockey team’s jerseys consistently? Would this indicate loyalty to that team? Predictive analytics can help answer those questions by “figuring out” what is on the customers’ mind.</p> <p>One business that illustrates profoundly the power of analytics is <a target="_blank" title="Wal-Mart" href="http://www.walmart.com/">Wal-Mart</a>. Wal-Mart’s ability to use predictive analytics to guess what customers will be interested in, how much they will buy, and at what price and its ability to act based on that information has made it a leader in the retail industry. For example, Wal-Mart have determine that before a hurricane, customers stock-up food items that do not require cooking or refrigeration. In that market segment, they found that Kellogg’s Strawberry Pop Tarts are the most popular. We can expect that Wal-Mart will make a rush order of Pop Tarts just before the hurricane hits.</p> <p>In short, predictive analytics allows retailers to “figure out” what is on the customers’ mind. Using this knowledge to optimize the performance of the entire value chain is key to outmaneuver competitors and guarantee success in today’s competitive marketplace.</p> <p>To learn more:</p> <ul> <li><a target="_blank" title="Predictive analytics" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Predictive_analytics">Wikipedia’s entry on predictive analytics</a></li> <li><a target="_blank" title="Competing on analytics" href="http://www.amazon.com/Competing-Analytics-New-Science-Winning/dp/1422103323">Competing on Analytics</a> by T.H. Davenport and J.G. Harris</li> </ul> </div> <p class="postmetadata">Posted in <a href="http://aranducorp.com/blog/category/business-analytics/" title="View all posts in Business Analytics" rel="category tag">Business Analytics</a>, <a href="http://aranducorp.com/blog/category/retail/" title="View all posts in Retail" rel="category tag">Retail</a>, <a href="http://aranducorp.com/blog/category/predictive-analytics/" title="View all posts in Predictive Analytics" rel="category tag">Predictive Analytics</a> | <a href="http://aranducorp.com/blog/2007/09/18/how-predictive-analytics-can-help-you-case-1-retail/#respond" title="Comment on How predictive analytics can help you. 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